In this study, we estimate agricultural technology for Tunisian peasants, accounting for the crop choice of perasants and distinguishing inputs for individual crops such as: vegetable farming cereal and fruit-trees. The study employed the use of cross-section data from distinguishable irrigated crops survey conducted on a sample of 218 farmers frome 11 regions in Tunisia. The data were collected with the aid of structured questionnaire and were later analysed. The Cobb Douglass production frontier model is employed in order to analyse data collected. Among the irrigated crop farmers, the significant variables were: farmuar manuar fertiliser quantity, labor, mecanic traction and among of irrigated water applied. The estimated sigma square (σ2) and gamma (γ) are widely significants for all irrigated crops and revealed that >85% of the variation in the Tunisian irrigated output among farmers in the study area are due to the differences in their efficiencies. Howerver, we find that predicted technical efficiency widely varies across farms and crops from an average of 54.7% for vegetable farming up to 80.6% for fruit-trees. The study also revealed the existing on inefficiency effects among the farmers as: education, farmers age, irrigation techniques, lack of education, property of land.
INTRODUCTION
The crucial role that agriculture should play on economic development has been recognized for years. Tunisian agriculture provides 16% to GDP, ensuring the bulk of food supplies of the country and occupying a quarter of the active population. Agricultural and Fishing exports, mostly citrus fruits, dates and fish, represent 11% of total exports.
In Tunisia, the irrigated domain occupies only 7.3% of the useful agricultural area, it contributes much more to the global agricultural output. During the last economic development plan the production share of the irrigated agriculture rised from 29-50% of the total value of agricultural production. Although, agriculture benefits only from 9% of the credits in the economy, most of agricultural investment (60%) is originated from the State Ministrere de I' of Agriculture in 2006. Hydraulics accounts for 32% of all agricultural investment and for 4.5% of total investment in Tunisia. The investment not only provides water to peasants but it also participates in improving rural incomes, creating jobs, bringing flexibility to the necessary adaptation of product supply to market fluctuations. Crop diversification is a core characteristic of the irrigated Tunisian agriculture. Globally, 45% of land is occupied by gardening crops, 34% by fruit trees, 13% by fodder crops and finally 8% by cereals. Water resources in Tunisia come from rain and underground water reserves. Rain is very variable across regions, seasons and years. Neglecting the salinity factor leads to consider that the North of the country possess most water resources (60%), while the Centre and the South have, respectively 17 and 23% of them. From these potential resources, the Ministry of Agriculture assesses that about 88%, i.e., 3,995 Mm3 are immediately exploitable. From this volume, 76% amounting to 3,043 Mm3 are already developed.
Water demand in Tunisia has steadily risen over the last 15 years. Although, the irrigated area has more than doubled, the actual use of water much fluctuates across years depending on the agriculture needs. In part because of this uncertainty, the present water pricing system is far from reflecting the economic value of irrigation water. The official price of water (between 0.032 and 0.06 TD m-3) corresponds to the average water cost with total coverage of exploitation costs and partial reimbursement of investment. However, the contribution of peasants to the investment cost is rarely collected. Similarly, the rental charges that are carried forward only cover from 15-60% of the exploitation costs. The obtained deficit is filled with public subsidies. In practice, the geographical variability of the unit cost of water mostly results from the low irrigation intensity in some regions. Beyond water scarcity, the agricultural sector suffers from several handicaps. The farmers are generally aged and little educated. About 53% of them have a mean age of 53 years in 2006 and 75% are illiterate. Employment is precarious: 60% of salaried and family workers are only employed on a temporary basis. The agricultural workers research on average 140 days year-1, to compare with 250 days for the permanent workers.
In these conditions, farm productivity and efficiency and the question of how to measure them is an important concern for irrigated agriculture in Tunisia. In particular, how water input influences productivity has major consequences on water supply policy. The potential importance of production efficiency has not yielded many focusing on Tunisian agriculture. As a matter of fact this is the first study in this domain. The aim of this study is first to fill the gap in the estimation of efficiency model for Tunisian agriculture and second to explore the use of crop-specific input and output data for this type of models.
MATERIALS AND METHODS
The production frontier literature: The original frontier function model introduced by Farrell (1957) uses the efficient unit isoquant to measure economic efficiency and to decompose this measure into technical efficiency and allocative efficiency. In this model, Efficiency (TE) is defined as the firm‘s ability to produce maximum output given a set of inputs and technology. Stated differently, technical inefficiency reflects the failure of attaining the highest possible level of output given input and technology. In contrast, Allocative (or price) Efficiency (AE) measures the firm’s success in choosing the optimal input proportions, i.e., where the ratio of marginal products for each pair of inputs is equal to the ratio of their market prices.
In Farrell’s framework, economic efficiency is a measure of overall performance and is equal to TE times AE. A large number of frontier models have been developed. They are based on Farrell’s work can be classified into two basic types: parametric and non-parametric. Parametric frontiers rely on a specific functional form while non-parametric frontiers do not. Due to the data limitations, we follow the parametric approach. Another important distinction is between deterministic and stochastic frontiers. The deterministic model assumes that any deviation from the frontier is due to inefficiency. The deterministic parametric approach was initiated by Aigner and Chu who estimated a Cobb-Douglas production frontier through linear and quadratic programming techniques.
In contrast, the stochastic approach allows for statistical noise. This is the option that we pursue given the prevailing ignorance about actual agricultural technical processes. In the stochastic production frontier, technical efficiency is measured with one-sided disturbance term. When explicit assumptions for the distribution of the disturbance term are introduced, the frontier function can be estimated using the maximum likelihood method. If no assumption are made concerning the distribution of the error term, the frontier can also be estimated by the Corrected Ordinary Least Squares method (COLS) which consists of shifting the intercept term of the frontier function upwards until no positive error term remains.
The stochastic production function model: Given the inherently stochastic nature of data production, we prefer to use the stochastic frontier production function approach in order to assess the technical efficiency of data farmers in the irrigated agriculture.
The stochastic frontier production model incorporates a composed error structure with a two sided symmetric component and a one-sided component. The one-sided component reflects inefficiency, while the two sided error captures the random effects outside the control of the production unit, including measurement errors and other statistical noise typical of empirical relationships. The Aigner et al. (1977), Meeusen and van den Broeck (1977) and Battese and Coelli (1995) model for the cross-sectional data is defined in two equations as:
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(1) |
Where:
yI | = | The production of the ith farmer in the sample (i = 1, 2, …, n) |
Xi | = | A (1xk) vector of input quantities used by the ith farmer |
β | = | A (kx1) vector of parameters to be estimated |
f (Xi, β) | = | An appropriate parametric form for the underlying technology |
εi | = | A stochastic error term consisting of two independent components ui and vi |
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(2) |
The symmetric component vi accounts for random variation in output due to factors outside the farmer’s control, such as weather and plant diseases. It is assumed
to be independently and identically distributed as N (0, σ2V) independent of ui. The asymmetric component ui is a non-negative random variable, associated with technical inefficiency. It is assumed to be independently distributed with truncations (at zero) of the normal distribution with mean, μi and variance, σu2 [N (μi, σu2)]. Under these assumptions the mean of the technical inefficiency effects, μi can be specified as follows:
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Where:
Z | = | A (1xm) vector of observable farm-specific variables hypothesized to be associated with technical inefficiency |
δ | = | An (mx1) vector of unknown parameters to be estimated |
The variance of ε is therefore: σ2 = σu2 + σv2, while the ratio of two standard errors is defined as:
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Parameter γ can determine whether a stochastic frontier model is warranted as opposed to a simple production function. The rejection of the null hypothesis, H0: γ = 0, implies the existence of a stochastic production frontier. Jondrow et al. (1982) have shown how measures of efficiency at the individual farm level can be obtained from the error terms. For each farm, the inefficiency measure is the expected value of u conditional on ε, i.e.,
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(3) |
Where:
φ (.) and Φ (.) | = | The standard normal density function and the standard normal distribution function evaluated at (ελ/σ) |
Estimated values for ε, λ = (σu/σv) and σ are used to evaluate the density and distribution functions. Finally, the technical efficiency of the ith sample farm, denoted by TEi, is defined in terms of the ratio of the observed output to the corresponding frontier output, conditioned on the levels of inputs used by that farmer. It is given as:
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(4) |
where, f (Xi, β) exp (vi) describes the stochastic frontier production.
The estimation of technical efficiencies is based on the conditional expectation in expression (Eq. 4), given the model specifications (Battese and Coelli, 1988).
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Where:
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In recent years, the Battese and Coelli (1995) model for the technical inefficiency effects has become popular thanks to its computation simplicity as well as its ability to examine the effects of various farm-specific variables on technical efficiency in an econometrically consistent manner. This is as opposed to a traditional two-step procedure which is inconsistent with the assumption of independently and identically distributed technical inefficiency effects in the stochastic frontier. The main advantage of this technique over the two-stage approach is that it incorporates farm-specific factors in the estimation of the production frontier on the ground that these factors may have a direct impact on efficiency. We first tested and rejected a translog functional form for the production frontier. On the basis of this generalized likelihood ratio test, the Cobb-Douglas form is found to be a prefereable representation of the data. Although, the Cobb-Douglas specification is restrictive, it provides a useful representation of production, as the interest lies also on efficiency measurement and not only on analysis of production structure. The model estimated for the comon sample is specified as:
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(5) |
Where:
(i) | = | Refers to the ith farmer in the sample |
yi | = | The output for this farmer |
Xk | = | Input variables |
βk | = | Parameters to be estimated |
vi and ui | = | The random variables |
This model is estimated separately for the different crops. Following Battese and Coelli (1995), the mean of technical inefficiency effects, μi is further defined as:
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(6) |
Where:
Z | = | Farm-specific variables |
δk | = | Unknown parameters |
The Zik variables included in the model of technical inefficiency are socioeconomic factors as in Yao and Liu (1998) and Battese et al. (1989).
With cross-section data, the technical inefficiency model can be estimated only if the ui’s are stochastic and have given distributional properties (Battese and Coelli, 1995). It is of interest to test various null hypotheses such as the following:
• | Technical inefficiency effects are not stochastic, H0:γ = 0 |
• | Technical inefficiency effects are absent from the production function model |
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These and other relevant null hypotheses can be tested using the generalized likelihood ratio statistic, λ given by:
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(7) |
Where L (H0) and L (H1) denote the values of likelihood function under the null (H0) and alternative (H1) hypotheses, respectively. If the given null hypothesis is true λ has approximately chisquare distribution or mixed chisquare distribution when the null hypothesis involves λ = 0 (Coelli and Battese, 1996). We now present the data used in the estimations.
The data: The data are taken from a national survey focusing of irrigated agriculture conducted by the Tunisian Ministere de I of Agriculture in 2006.
The objective of the survey was to gather basic data about producers, their production unit and the use of water. About 250 agricultural producers have been surveyed, leaving 218 observations (Table 1) because of missing or erroneous data. The sampling scheme is stratified by zone (11 regions equally distributed on an East-West axis across the three agro-climatic region: North, Centre and South), irrigation source, perimeter size and perimeter age. Note a rare opportunity: we dispose of input and output information that is specific to three crops: fruit-trees, vegetable farming and cereal. The main variables entering the stochastic frontier function are as follows (Table 2). A few descriptive statistics for the sample by crop are shown in Table 3. Data on each input and output were collected by crop. Inputs include the use of farmyard manuar fertiliser, human labor, mechanic traction, animal traction irrigated water.
Land is generally scarce and average holding is small. Average land for each crop ranges from 0.03 ha/household for cereal to 18 ha/households for fruit-trees. The average labor input ranges from 25 days (fruit-trees) to 1080 days (vegetable farming). Labour input is more important than mechanization because of the small land size.
Table 1: | Interviewed perimeters |
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Table 2: | Description of output, input and farm-specific variables |
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Often, statistical demand curves for irrigation water are specified with demanded water quantity a function of, price, income and rainfall. This approach may not be appropriate in Tunisia since water irrigation demand is correlated with the political importance of crop.
For example, cereals is seen as a politically sensitive crop fostered by the government in order to ensure food self-sufficiency. This crop requires an average of 5107 m3 by household. For irrigation water, a small variation in price of water occurs across farms (an average of 0.055 TND-2 m-3). The official price of water (between 0.024 and 0.07 TND m-3) corresponds to the average cost including integral coverage of exploitation costs and partial reimbursement of the investment cost. However, the contribution of peasants to the investment cost is rarely perceived. Similarly, the rental charges of irrigation water that are carried forward only cover from 15-60% of the exploitation costs.
The deficit is filled with public subsidies. The farmers are generally aged (mean age 54 years). The education of the head and member of the household is generally very low. Over 53% of them cannot read and write a letter. We now turn to te estimation results.
Table 3: | Summary statistics of output, input and farm-specific variables |
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RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
The parameters (βk) (k = 1,…,6) of the stochastic Cobb Douglass production frontier model and those for the technical inefficiency model (δk) (k = 1,…, 6) are simultaneously estimated by the maximum likelihood method. The model 6 and 7 is estimated for three different crops: fruit-trees, vegetables and cereal. The estimates are shown in Table 4. The estimate of technical efficiency model is based on the half-normal specification. The slope coefficients of the stochastic frontier describe the output elasticties of inputs. The estimated signs of the parameters are as expected.
The significant input variables include: fertilizers, labor, mecanic traction, amount of irrigated water and farm size. Even if animal traction is not significant at 5% level, it is significant at 10% level for fruit-trees. Moreover, the estimated output elasticities with respect to irrigation water are significant and range from 0.022-0.224. Labor input, mechanization and animal traction coefficients are statistically significant However, even though the land size has a positive elasticity, it is not significant at 5% level. This may be because it is a fixed factor.
The estimated sigma square (σ2) of the irrigated crop farmers are 0.701, 0.854 and 0.596, respectively for cereal, fruit trees and vegetable farming (all significant at 1% level). This result indicates a good fit of the model. The estimate gamma (γ) parameter of the irrigated crop farmers are 0.948, 0.896 and 0.903, respectively for cereal, fruit-trees and vegetables (higly significant at 1% level). That is: over 89% of the variation in the irrigated crop output among the farmers in Tunisia is due to the differences in their technical efficiencies. This results is consisitent with the finding of Yao and Liu (1998). In the efficiency model, the coefficients of age, land property and traditional irrigation are significantly negative. In particular, the younger the farmer, the more technically inefficient. Education has a positive and significant relationship with technical efficiency.
The traditional OLS estimates of a production function, without technical inefficiency effects is not an adequate representation of irrigated crop involved in this study. We conduct generalized likelihood ratio tests of the nullity of the variance parameter γ (H0:γ = 0). The test results that inform of the importance of the inefficiency component are shown in Table 5. The null hypothesis specifies that the irrigated crop farmers in Tunisia were technically efficient in their production. The null hypotesis is rejected for all the considered crops in the study area. Given that there are differences in efficiency levels among irrigated crop farmers in this study, it is appropriate to question why some farmers can achieve relatively high efficiency, while others are technically less efficient. Variations in the technical efficiencies of farmers may arise from farm characteristics that affect the ability of the farmer to use the existing technology adequately.
The found discrepancies could also be due to heterogeneous technical knowledge. Many researchers have suggested that the technical efficiency of farmer is much determined by socio-economic and demographic factors. The distributions of technical efficiency measures are summarized in Table 6. The mean value of technical efficiency for all farms is estimated to be 0.547, for vegetables (from 0.202-0.998); 0.772 for cereals (from 0.248-0.979) and 0.806 for fruit-trees (from 0.472-0.962). Then, output could be increased on average by,respectively 45.3% (vegetables), 22.8% (cereals) and 19.4% (fruit-trees) with the curent technology and the same amount of inputs, if technical inefficiency is removed. Three quarters (75.7%) of the surveyed farmers are below 50% efficiency in the case of vegetables. About 96.1% of the farmers are below 75% if efficiency.
Table 4: | Maximum likelihood estimates for the parametres of the stochastic frontier production function and technical inefficiency models |
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* = Significant at the 5% level; ** = Significant at the 10% level |
Table 5: | Likelihood ratio test of H0: γ = 0 |
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Table 6: | Frequency distributions of technical efficiency estimates |
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Thus, there is considerable room for efficiency improvement for vegetables in Tunisian agriculture. However, cereals and fruit-trees correspond to more reasonable efficiency levels. Over 40% of the farmers have efficiency levels under 75%.
These statistics are comparable to those reported by previous frontier studies in agriculture in developing countries. For example, the overall average level of technical efficiency computed from all the studies presented by Thiam et al. (2001) is 68%. The parametric studies relying on the Cobb-Douglas form reported technical efficiency measures ranging from 52-84%, with an average of 71%.
Policy implications: Agricultural policy in Tunisia is much determined by considerations of food security self-sufficiency and import-substitution startegies. The water resources manager in the semi-arid and arid zones is interested in knowing how far agricultural production can be expected to increase by raising its productive efficiency without absorbing further resources, given the involved technology.
The econometric estimates of the farm-level technical inefficiencies reveal that the farmers produce well below their potential agricultural output. It has been estimated that for the same amounts of inputs, output could be increased on average respectively by 36% for vegetables, 26% for fruit-trees, while only 16% for cereals. Observed levels of benefits and full-efficiency-benefits (Belloumi and Matoussi, 2006) are presented in Table 6 for the three crops.
By reaching full efficiency levels, farmers would be able to increase their actual benefits by 87.3, 82.8 and 69.7%, respectivly for vegetables, fruit-trees and cereals. Various benefit levels with and without in efficiency shown in Table 7. Understanding the different efficiency levels among farmers can help policymakers. For example, agricultural development programs can be targeted to those types of farms that are more efficient and provide most benefits to the community.
Table 7: | Various benefit levels with and without inefficiency |
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This is important in Tunisia because food self-sufficiency, which is a government objective, can only be reached by promoting output growth.
CONCLUSION
In this study, we have used survey data on input and output by farms to estimate farm-level inefficiency of Tunisian irrigated crop production for three crops (cereals, fruit-trees and vegetables). We find some evidence of substantial inefficiencies. On average, cultivation of cereals and fruit-trees is found to be more efficient than vegetables farming.
We find that irrigated production for the three crops is mainly determined by five variables: farmyard manure fertiliser, labor, mechanization, water quantity and farm size. Output elasticities of all inputs are found to be positive and significant except for the farm size. For the technical inefficiency model, none of the introduced socio-economic variables seems to matter.
This result may be due to the lack of variability in these variables in these data where the majority of the farmers have similar socio-economic characteristics. From a policy standpoint, more accurate technical efficiency estimates are crucial in guiding policy decisions dealing with farm extension and training programs, among others. On average, vegetable production is found to be technically less efficient than cultivation of cereals and fruit-trees.
However, water resource scarcity continues to characterize water demand and supply environment in Tunisia. Agriculture by far the largest user of water, accounts for roughly 80% of water use. In this sector, the application of highly subsidized associated inputs such as water has drained pubic budgets. Then, attention has turned towards better usage of the existing irrigation infrastructure and improving water conservation.
Tawfik Ben Amor and Christophe Muller. Application of Stochastic Production Frontier in the Estimation of Technical Efficiency of Irrigated Agriculture in Tunisia.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.36478/aj.2010.50.56
URL: https://www.makhillpublications.co/view-article/1816-9155/aj.2010.50.56