TY  - JOUR
T1  - Asymmetry of Cyclic Processes as the Foundation for Studies of
Cycle Transformation
AU - Enikeeva, L.A. AU - Chibrik, M. AU - Rumyantseva, Svetlana 
JO  - International Business Management
VL  - 12
IS  - 5
SP  - 380
EP  - 387
PY  - 2018
DA  - 2001/08/19
SN  - 1993-5250
DO  - ibm.2018.380.387
UR  - https://makhillpublications.co/view-article.php?doi=ibm.2018.380.387
KW  - investment
KW  -transformation of the economic cycle
KW  -asymmetric models
KW  -economic cycle modeling
KW  -Economic cycle
AB  - This study considers basic approaches to modeling of economic cycles. Distinctions between
common disbalance during economic development and economic crisis are made. An approach to modeling of
asymmetric cycles was proposed. This approach allows to determine cycle break points more accurately and
achieve more accurate model approximation to dynamics of real data. Influence of scientific and technical
progress on behavior of economic cycles their amplitude and duration was determined. If we provide analytical
description for real investment flow and then distinguish aggregate effect of innovations on economy, we will
be able to trace both the trend and corresponding cycle fluctuations. On the basis of US GDP statistical data
for 1900-2014, approximated by modeling of the asymmetric cycle, there were defined characteristics of
Kondratieff, Kuznets and Juglar cycles. These characteristics show themselves during cycle transformation in
the form of cycle amplitude and duration changes. It is shown that transformation of economic cycles changes
innovation content of mechanisms related to essential economic cycles.
ER  -