TY  - JOUR
T1  - Estimating Occurrence Likelihood of Heat Waves Using Fuzzy Logic (Case Study: Southern Part of Central Alborz)
AU - Ataei, Hooshmand AU - Hobbi, Elham AU - Gandomkar, Amir 
JO  - The Social Sciences
VL  - 11
IS  - 8
SP  - 1592
EP  - 1596
PY  - 2016
DA  - 2001/08/19
SN  - 1818-5800
DO  - sscience.2016.1592.1596
UR  - https://makhillpublications.co/view-article.php?doi=sscience.2016.1592.1596
KW  - Occurrence likelihood
KW  -heat waves
KW  -fuzzy logic
KW  -Tehran and Doushan Tappeh
KW  -temperature
AB  - Heat waves are among the most important climatic evils that leave every year detrimental environmental consequences on the nature. Accordingly, the main objective of the present research is to identify occurrence likelihood of heat waves in Tehran and Doushan Tappeh regions. For this purpose, daily statistics of maximum temperature belonging to climatic station in the area of study were used during statistical interval from beginning of 2009 to the end of 210 (730 days). In the present research, turning point test was applied in order to verify randomness of data which shall be checked in the first step. The results indicated that fuzzy logic underestimates heat waves for temperatures below 30°C and overestimates the phenomena for temperatures over 30°C.
ER  -