TY  - JOUR
T1  - Statistical Model for Estimating the Rate of Spread of Human Immune-Deficiency: A Case Study of Ondo Kingdom
AU - , S.O. Olagunju AU - , K.A. Bashiru AU - , O.E. Olowofeso 
JO  - Research Journal of Applied Sciences
VL  - 2
IS  - 10
SP  - 1025
EP  - 1030
PY  - 2007
DA  - 2001/08/19
SN  - 1815-932x
DO  - rjasci.2007.1025.1030
UR  - https://makhillpublications.co/view-article.php?doi=rjasci.2007.1025.1030
KW  - Statistical model
KW  -spread
KW  -estimating
KW  -immune-deficiency
KW  -AIDS
KW  -HIV
AB  - This research considered a statistical model for estimating the rate of spread of Human Immune-Deficiency Virus by making use of Ondo-West Local Government as a case study. The virus’ modes of infection and some of the existing epidemic models were discussed. Ondo-West was randomly sampled out of the local government areas that make Ondo Kingdom. Records of samples were obtained from the two government-recognised Hospitals in the vicinity. Data on relevant variables comprising Year of Test, Age-group, Gender, as well as Percentage that tested positive were analysed. The study made use of Generating Function approach to solve the associated Birth process model. A reduction from normal population was numerically noticed through the use of Birth process model, Results of various age-groups (0-5), (6-22) and (23+), respectively defined as Infants, Youth and Adults were presented. It was found that the age-group (6-22) has the greatest risk, as out of an assumed 5000 members of each group, the Youth has 34 possible infected members, as against 6 and 27 for Infants and Adults, respectively.
ER  -