TY - JOUR
T1 - Statistical Modeling of Global Warming
AU - Mercy, Igwenagu Chinelo
JO - Journal of Modern Mathematics and Statistics
VL - 7
IS - 4
SP - 41
EP - 46
PY - 2013
DA - 2001/08/19
SN - 1994-5388
DO - jmmstat.2013.41.46
UR - https://makhillpublications.co/view-article.php?doi=jmmstat.2013.41.46
KW - CO2 emission
KW -global warming
KW -multicollinearity
KW -modeling
KW -principal component
AB - The problems associated with global warming, ranging from
increase in global temperature change in agricultural yields, glacier retreat,
species extinction, increase in the ranges of diseases and disease vectors were
reviewed. These underscore the need to reduce emission which causes global warming.
The proposed method of emission reduction is by emission trading according to
the Kyoto protocol. If this proposal holds for countries to participate actively,
it is important to build a model for estimating their level of CO2
emission. The aim of this study is to develop an exploratory model of global
warming, using CO2 emission as a surrogate. This was done using regression
analysis and principal component analysis to explore some possible factors that
could cause global warming and to know their actual contributions. The regression
analysis result with a p<0.001 indicates that CO2 emission is
related to some of the input variables used. However due to the effect of multicollinearity
among the variables used, supervised principal component regression analysis
was used and the result of the analysis shows that model built on this method
gave a good fit.
ER -