TY - JOUR T1 - Earthquake Forecasting Model and Hazard Analysis in Bengkulu Province of Indonesia AU - Rizal, Jose AU - Faisal, Fachri AU - , Suhendra AU - Sugianto, Nanang JO - Research Journal of Applied Sciences VL - 12 IS - 2 SP - 273 EP - 280 PY - 2017 DA - 2001/08/19 SN - 1815-932x DO - rjasci.2017.273.280 UR - https://makhillpublications.co/view-article.php?doi=rjasci.2017.273.280 KW - Earthquake forecasting model KW -peak ground acceleration KW -ARIMA KW -Fukusima KW -earthquake AB - We have made intensity and magnitude of earthquake forecasting models based on Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) approachment and residual model using ARCH, GARCH and TGARCH of them in Bengkulu Province. In addition, we have mapped distribution of peak ground acceleration on bedrock. Peak ground acceleration value was obtained by mathematic calculating of Fukusima dan Tanaka equation. It was used earthquake history data in Bengkulu Province for 1970 to June 2016. The result of this interpretation showed that Muko-muko regency has the highest peak ground acceleration value (361-402 gal). It also allowed on western of North Bengkulu Regency. ER -