@article{MAKHILLJMMS202115128218, title = {Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in South Africa}, journal = {Journal of Modern Mathematics and Statistics}, volume = {15}, number = {1}, pages = {1-7}, year = {2021}, issn = {1994-5388}, doi = {jmmstat.2021.1.7}, url = {https://makhillpublications.co/view-article.php?issn=1994-5388&doi=jmmstat.2021.1.7}, author = {Matthew}, keywords = {ARDL,bounds test,cointegration,Granger causality,Augmented Dickey-Fuller,GDP,petrol,electricity,economic growth,energy}, abstract = {This study examines the long-run and short-run causal relationship among the petrol consumption, electricity consumption and GDP in South Africa using 16 years quarterly data (2005Q1-2020Q2). The results show that electricity and GDP are integrated of the same order, I(1) while petrol is integrated of order zero. There exists a long-run relationship between petrol and GDP models. Only the petrol model system returns to equilibrium with adjustment speed of 128.4%. Petrol and electricity models are found to be stable and significant with no defects, GDP Model is also stable but insignificant and its residuals are not normally distributed. A unidirectional causality runs from GDP to petrol and electricity. However, petrol and electricity do granger cause each other. have and there is no long-run relationship between them. In the short and long run, GDP has a significant negative impact on electricity and petrol consumption in South Africa, respectively.} }